Danone SA (Germany) Performance

BSND Stock  EUR 14.70  0.70  5.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.1, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Danone SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Danone SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Danone SA has a negative expected return of -0.0467%. Please make sure to confirm Danone SA's treynor ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Danone SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Danone SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Danone SA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.029
Payout Ratio
0.7495
Forward Dividend Rate
0.43
Ex Dividend Date
2025-05-02
  

Danone SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,540  in Danone SA on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (70.00) from holding Danone SA or give up 4.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. Danone SA is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.486% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 22% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Danone SA, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danone SA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Danone SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Danone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.70 90 days 14.70 
about 37.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danone SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.95 (This Danone SA probability density function shows the probability of Danone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danone SA has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Danone SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Danone SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Danone SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Danone SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Danone SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danone SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Danone SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2114.7017.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8914.3816.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4514.9317.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.8314.0322.23
Details

Danone SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danone SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danone SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danone SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danone SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Danone SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danone SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danone SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danone SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Danone SA Fundamentals Growth

Danone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Danone SA, and Danone SA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Danone Stock performance.

About Danone SA Performance

By analyzing Danone SA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Danone SA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Danone SA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Danone SA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Danone SA is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about Danone SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Danone SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Danone SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Danone SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Evaluating Danone SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Danone SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Danone SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Danone SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Danone SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Danone SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Danone SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Danone SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Danone SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Danone SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Danone SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Danone Stock analysis

When running Danone SA's price analysis, check to measure Danone SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danone SA is operating at the current time. Most of Danone SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danone SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danone SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danone SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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